The white noise (WN) model

Time Series Analysis in R

David S. Matteson

Associate Professor at Cornell University

White noise

White Noise (WN) is the simplest example of a stationary process.

A weak white noise process has:

  • A fixed, constant mean.
  • A fixed, constant variance.
  • No correlation over time.
Time Series Analysis in R

White noise

Time series plots of White Noise:

Time Series Analysis in R

White noise

Time series plots of White Noise?

Time Series Analysis in R
# Simulate n = 50 observations from the WN model
WN_1 <- arima.sim(model = list(order = c(0, 0, 0)), n = 50)
head(WN_1)
-0.005052984  0.042669765  3.261154066  
 2.486431235  0.283119322  1.543525773
ts.plot(WN_1)

Time Series Analysis in R
# Simulate from the WN model with mean = 4, sd = 2
WN_2 <- arima.sim(model = list(order = c(0, 0, 0)), 
                  n = 50, mean = 4, sd = 2)
ts.plot(WN_2)

Time Series Analysis in R

Estimating white noise

# Fit the WN model with 
# arima()
arima(WN_2, 
      order = c(0, 0, 0))
Coefficients:
      intercept
         4.0739
s.e.     0.2698
sigma^2 estimated as 3.639
# Calculate the sample 
# mean and sample variance
# of WN
mean(WN_2)
4.0739
var(WN_2)
3.713
Time Series Analysis in R

Let's practice!

Time Series Analysis in R

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