Introduction to LTV

Marketing Analytics in Tableau

Mariam Ibrahim

Managing Data Analyst, IBM

LTV

LTV stands for LifeTime Value

  • How much a customer is worth to a company over the customer's lifetime
  • Also written as CLTV (customer lifetime value)

  • Lifetime: how long a customer purchases from a company

$$

  • 5 years
  • 100 USD/year
  • LTV = 5 years x 100 USD /year = 500 USD
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LTV Formulas

$LTV = \text{price (annual, monthly)} \times \text{average lifetime}$

  • Average lifetime is the number of periods the average customer purchases for (same unit as price)

$LTV = \frac{\text{average revenue per customer}} {\text{churn rate}}$

$LTV = \frac{\text{total revenue/total number of customers}} {\text{churn rate}}$

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Churn

Churn: rate at which customers stop purchasing

  • Healthy software business: churn rate ~3 - 8%
  • Varies significantly by industry
  • Marketing analysts will often examine typical customer purchase patterns to identify a churn window

3 month vs. 6 month journey length

Membership-based businesses: any cancellation typically considered to churn

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Cohorts

Let's return to our formulas briefly:

Each formula contains an average

$LTV = \text{price (annual, monthly)} \times \text{average lifetime}$

$LTV = \frac{\text{average revenue per customer}} {\text{churn rate}}$

$LTV = \frac{\text{total revenue/total number of customers}} {\text{churn rate}}$

Cohort: a group of customers who behave similarly

  • E.g. Do cohorts with higher average spend join via a specific marketing channel?
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Cohorts: lifespan example

  • Average lifetime of a customer for a boutique fitness studio is 36 months

  • Two cohorts: one signing up for 1 month, and another for 71 months

36 month average could be two equal cohorts of 1 month and 71 months

Marketing analysts look at cohort analyses in addition to calculating LTV

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LTV/CAC

  • LTV/CAC
    • Metric for return on investment (ROI)
  • CAC stands for Customer Acquisition Cost
  • CAC: marketing spend, on average, to acquire new customer
  • $\frac{LTV}{CAC} > 1$: customers bring more value than their acquisition cost

$$

We'll review CAC in next section

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Let's practice!

Marketing Analytics in Tableau

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