Pricing in profit

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Nick Edwards

Capital Markets Analyst at Mynd

The financial system with the flow of money and flow of investment in full circle

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

lenders selling loans in the capital markets

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Lenders make money by charging fees to borrowers and selling loans to investors at a premium.

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Competitive markets

  • A competitive market is a market where there are many buyers and sellers for an identical or very similar product
    • 4,338 lenders and 23.3mm loan applications in 2021 (U.S.)
    • No single buyer or seller can set a price

Image of a marketplace in Morocco

1 https://www.consumerfinance.gov/data-research/hmda/summary-of-2021-data-on-mortgage-lending/
Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Competitive markets: lenders

  • Highly competitive markets are price sensitive!
  • Lenders are constantly repricing to be competitive

Image of a handshake agreement over an office desk

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

What is profit?

  • Profit money made after all expenses have been paid.
    • Revenue - Expenses
  • Revenue is the total money made from doing business
    • i.e., fees, trade premium
  • Expenses are the costs of doing business
    • i.e., paying the mortgage banker, office expenses, discounts

Example: If revenue is 50,000 and expenses are 30,000 - what is the profit?

Profit = 50,000 - 30,000 = 20,000

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

What is loan margin?

  • Loan profit margin is the percent of the profit earned per dollar lent

    • Profit ÷ Loan Amount
  • Example: What is the loan profit margin of a loan with 14,000 in profit and a loan amount of 100,000?

    • 14,000 ÷ 100,000 = 14%
Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Pricing and target profit

  • Business set margin targets
    • Analyze costs and predict revenue

target icon

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Pricing and target profit

  • Business set margin targets
    • Analyze costs and predict revenue
  • Higher than expected margins
    • Not always good in a competitive market
    • Losing market share/customers to competition due to high pricing
    • Need to charge less

target icon with arrow above point towards target

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Pricing and target profit

  • Business set margin targets
    • Analyze costs and predict revenue
  • Higher than expected margins
    • Not always good in a competitive market
    • Losing market share/customers to competition due to high pricing
    • Need to charge less
  • Lower than expected margins
    • Risks going out of business!
    • Need to charge more
  • Financial markets impact lenders' profit!

Target icon with two arrows pointing toward the target

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

Let's analyze!

Case Study: Mortgage Trading Analysis in Power BI

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