What will happen?

Forming Analytical Questions

Konstantinos Kattidis

Data Analytics Lead

Understanding what will happen

Predictive analytics is focused on:

  • Analyzing past data to make predictions
  • Predicting what is likely to happen in the future
Forming Analytical Questions

Retail industry example

Business question:

How much should we order to meet customer demand and minimize inventory costs?

Analytical question:

What is the predicted customer demand for product x based on various factors?

Technique:

  • Time-series forecasting

 

Sales forecast, line chart

Forming Analytical Questions

Insurance industry example

Business question:

How can we identify fraudulent claims and mitigate the risk of fraudulent payouts?

Analytical question:

What is the likelihood of a claim being fraudulent based on various variables from historical claim data?

Technique:

  • Classification prediction algorithm

Workflow to a classification model

Forming Analytical Questions

Healthcare industry example

Business question:

How can we improve patient outcomes by identifying which patients are at risk for certain health conditions?

Analytical question:

Can we predict which patients are at risk for certain health conditions based on relevant variables?

Technique:

  • Text predictive modeling

Text predictive modeling workflow for health diagnosis

Forming Analytical Questions

Scenario in the finance industry (1/2)

Business question:

How can we identify which loan applications are most likely to result in default?

Analytical questions:

Descriptive analytics: Which loan applications resulted in default in the past?

Diagnostic analytics: Why certain loan applications are usually resulting in defaults?

 

Predictive analytics: Can we predict the likelihood of a loan application resulting in default based on various variables in the application?

Forming Analytical Questions

Scenario in the finance industry (2/2)

Technique:

  • Classification prediction algorithm such as logistic regression

  • The model can be applied to new loan applications to predict the likelihood of default

  • This would help mitigate the risk of default and improve overall portfolio performance

Workflow to a classification model for loan default predictions

Forming Analytical Questions

Let's practice!

Forming Analytical Questions

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