Komponen yang dibutuhkan untuk inferensi Bayesian

Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Rasmus Bååth

Data Scientist

Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

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Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie


Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- ???
n_zombies <- ???
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- ???
}
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success}
data
FALSE FALSE FALSE TRUE FALSE FALSE FALSE FALSE TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE FALSE
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
data <- as.numeric(data)
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
data <- as.numeric(data)
data
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
data <- as.numeric(data)
data
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
data <- as.numeric(data)
data
0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
data <- as.numeric(data)
data
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

Model generatif obat zombie

# Parameters
prop_success <- 0.15
n_zombies <- 13
# Simulating data
data <- c()
for(zombie in 1:n_zombies) {
  data[zombie] <- runif(1, min = 0, max = 1) < prop_success
}
data <- as.numeric(data)
data
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

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Dasar-dasar Analisis Data Bayesian di R

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