Predikce s paralelními sklony

Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Maarten Van den Broeck

Content Developer at DataCamp

Postup predikce

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
expl_data_length = pd.DataFrame(
  {"length_cm": np.arange(5, 61, 5)})
print(expl_data_length)
    length_cm
0           5
1          10
2          15
3          20
4          25
5          30
6          35
7          40
8          45
9          50
10         55
11         60
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Postup predikce

[A, B, C] x [1, 2] ==> [A1, B1, C1, A2, B2, C2]
from itertools import product

product(["A", "B", "C"], [1, 2])
length_cm = np.arange(5, 61, 5)

species = fish["species"].unique()
p = product(length_cm, species)
expl_data_both = pd.DataFrame(p, columns=['length_cm', 'species'])
print(expl_data_both)
    length_cm species
0           5   Bream
1           5   Roach
2           5   Perch
3           5    Pike
4          10   Bream
5          10   Roach
6          10   Perch
...
41         55   Roach
42         55   Perch
43         55    Pike
44         60   Bream
45         60   Roach
46         60   Perch
47         60    Pike
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Postup predikce

Predikce mass_g pouze z length_cm

prediction_data_length = expl_data_length.assign(
    mass_g = mdl_mass_vs_length.predict(expl_data) 
)

 

Predikce mass_g z obou vysvětlujících proměnných

prediction_data_both = expl_data_both.assign(
    mass_g = mdl_mass_vs_both.predict(expl_data) 
)
    length_cm     mass_g
0           5  -361.7277
1          10  -187.2315
2          15   -12.7353
3          20   161.7610
4          25   336.2572
5          30   510.7534
... # number of rows: 12
    length_cm species     mass_g
0           5   Bream  -459.3991
1           5   Roach  -513.9350
2           5   Perch  -500.4501
3           5    Pike  -876.6133
4          10   Bream  -246.5563
5          10   Roach  -301.0923
... # number of rows: 48
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Vizualizace predikcí

plt.axline(xy1=(0, ic_bream), slope=sl, color="blue")
plt.axline(xy1=(0, ic_perch), slope=sl, color="green")
plt.axline(xy1=(0, ic_pike), slope=sl, color="red")
plt.axline(xy1=(0, ic_roach), slope=sl, color="orange")

sns.scatterplot(x="length_cm",
                y="mass_g",
                hue="species",
                data=fish)
sns.scatterplot(x="length_cm",
                y="mass_g",
                color="black",
                data=prediction_data)

Model s paralelními sklony pro hmotnost ryb vs. délku, rozdělený podle druhu. Predikce jsou vyznačeny na trendových přímkách.

Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Ruční výpočet predikcí pro lineární regresi

coeffs = mdl_mass_vs_length.params
print(coeffs)
intercept, slope = coeffs
explanatory_data = pd.DataFrame(
{"length_cm": np.arange(5, 61, 5)})

prediction_data = explanatory_data.assign(
    mass_g = intercept + slope * explanatory_data
    )
print(prediction_data)
Intercept   -536.223947
length_cm     34.899245
    length_cm       mass_g
0           5  -361.727721
1          10  -187.231494
2          15   -12.735268
3          20   161.760959
4          25   336.257185
5          30   510.753412
...
9          50  1208.738318
10         55  1383.234545
11         60  1557.730771
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Ruční výpočet predikcí pro vícenásobnou regresi

coeffs = mdl_mass_vs_both.params
print(coeffs)
species[Bream]    -672.241866
species[Perch]    -713.292859
species[Pike]    -1089.456053
species[Roach]    -726.777799
length_cm           42.568554
ic_bream, ic_perch, ic_pike, ic_roach, slope = coeffs
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

np.select()

conditions = [
      condition_1,
      condition_2,
      # ...
      condition_n   
]

choices = [list_of_choices] # same length as conditions

np.select(conditions, choices)
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Výběr průsečíku pomocí np.select()

conditions = [
    explanatory_data["species"] == "Bream",
    explanatory_data["species"] == "Perch",
    explanatory_data["species"] == "Pike",
    explanatory_data["species"] == "Roach"    
]
choices = [ic_bream, ic_perch, ic_pike, ic_roach]
intercept = np.select(conditions, choices)
print(intercept)
[ -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46  
  -672.24  -726.78  -713.29 -1089.46]
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Závěrečný krok predikce

prediction_data = explanatory_data.assign(
    intercept = np.select(conditions, choices),
    mass_g = intercept + slope * explanatory_data["length_cm"])

print(prediction_data)
    length_cm species  intercept     mass_g
0           5   Bream  -672.2419  -459.3991
1           5   Roach  -726.7778  -513.9350
2           5   Perch  -713.2929  -500.4501
3           5    Pike -1089.4561  -876.6133
4          10   Bream  -672.2419  -246.5563
5          10   Roach  -726.7778  -301.0923
6          10   Perch  -713.2929  -287.6073
7          10    Pike -1089.4561  -663.7705
8          15   Bream  -672.2419   -33.7136
...
40         55   Bream  -672.2419  1669.0286
41         55   Roach  -726.7778  1614.4927
42         55   Perch  -713.2929  1627.9776
43         55    Pike -1089.4561  1251.8144
44         60   Bream  -672.2419  1881.8714
45         60   Roach  -726.7778  1827.3354
46         60   Perch  -713.2929  1840.8204
47         60    Pike -1089.4561  1464.6572
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Porovnání s .predict()

mdl_mass_vs_both.predict(explanatory_data)
0     -459.3991
1     -513.9350
2     -500.4501
3     -876.6133
4     -246.5563
5     -301.0923
...
43    1251.8144
44    1881.8714
45    1827.3354
46    1840.8204
47    1464.6572
Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Pojďme si procvičit!

Intermediate Regression with statsmodels in Python

Preparing Video For Download...