Drivers in the case of two assets

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Kris Boudt

Professor, Free University Brussels & Amsterdam

Future returns are random in nature

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Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Future returns are random in nature

ch_3_video_1.003.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Future returns are random in nature

ch_3_video_1.004.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Future returns are random in nature

ch_3_video_1.005.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Past performance to predictions

ch_3_video_1.007.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Past performance to predictions

ch_3_video_1.008.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Past performance to predictions

ch_3_video_1.009.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Past performance to predictions

ch_3_video_1.010.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Past performance to predictions

ch_3_video_1.011.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Past performance to predictions

ch_3_video_1.012.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Drivers of mean & variance

  • Assume two assets:
Asset 1 Asset 2
Weight: $w_1$ Weight: $w_2$
Return: $R_1$ Return: $R_2$

 

  • Portfolio Return, $P = w1 \cdot R1 + w2\cdot R2$
  • Thus: $E[P] = w_1\cdot E[R_1]+ w_2\cdot E[R_2]$
Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Portfolio return variance

Again, for a portfolio with 2 assets

  • $var(P)$ = $w_1^2\cdot var(R_1) $ $+ w_2^2\cdot var(R_2) $ $+ 2\cdot w_1 \cdot w_2 \cdot cov(R_1, R_2)$

Covariance between return 1 and 2

  • $Cov(R_1,R_2)$
    • $ = E[(R_1 - E[R_1])(R_2 - E(R_2))]$
    • $ = StdDev(R_1)\cdot StdDev(R_2)\cdot corr(R_1,R_2)$
Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Correlations

Screenshot 2019-08-21 at 13.13.54.png

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Take away formulas

  • E[Portfolio Return] = $E[P] = w_1\cdot E[R_1] + w_2\cdot E[R_2]$

  • var(Portfolio Return) = $var(P)$ = $w_1^2\cdot var(R_1) $ $+ w_2^2\cdot var(R_2) $ $+ 2\cdot w_1 \cdot w_2 \cdot cov(R_1, R_2)$

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

Let's practice!

Introduction to Portfolio Analysis in R

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